Erstellung innovativer Wetter- und Leistungsprognosemodelle
für die Netzintegration wetterabhängiger Energieträger

Publikationen (peer-reviewed)

Ben Bouallegue, Z. (2015) "Assessment and added value estimation of an ensemble approach with a focus on global radiation forecasts", MAUSAM, 66(3), pp. 541-550.

Ben Bouallegue, Z., P. Pinson, and P. Friederichs (2015): "Quantile forecast discrimination ability and value", Q.J.R.M.S, DOI: 10.1002/qj.2624, accepted.

Köhler, C., A. Steiner, D. Lee, J. Thieler, Y.-M. Saint-Drenan, D. Ernst, C. Becker, M. Zirkelbach, and B. Ritter (2015): "Assessing the Impact of a Solar Eclipse on Weather and Photovoltaik Production", Meteorologische Zeitschrift, under review.

Konferenzbeiträge (international)

2015

K. Lundgren, A. Steiner, T. Heppelmann, R. Keane, G. Vogt, S. Declair (2015): "Improved weather forecasts for wind energy applications: Lessons learned and perspectives based on the ongoing German research project EWeLiNE", EWEA Wind Power Forecasting 2015, 1-2 Oktober, Leuven, Belgium. (oral)

I. Metzinger (Alberts), C. Köhler, A. Steiner, A. Braun, J. Dobschinski, R. Hagedorn (2015): "Weather Information Decision Support Tool Tailored to the Needs of Renewable Energy Industry", EWEA Wind Power Forecasting 2015, 1-2 Oktober, Leuven, Belgium. (oral)

I. Metzinger (Alberts), Carmen Köhler, Andrea Steiner, Harald Kempf, and Renate Hagedorn (2015): "Weather Information Tailored to the Needs of Renewable Energy Industry", European Meteorological Society Conference 2015, Sofia, Bulgaria. (oral)

S. Declair, K. Stephan and R. Potthast (2015): "Wind Power Data Assimilation in a Regional Model - Haves, Wants and Needs", European Meteorological Society Conference 2015, Sofia, Bulgaria. (poster)

R. Keane, H. Reich, and Ch. Schraff (2015): "New methods for ensemble generation in COSMO-DE-EPS?", European Meteorological Society Conference 2015, Sofia, Bulgaria. (oral)

A. Steiner and C. Köhler (2015): "Objective Identification of Critical Weather Events for Ensuring Net Stability", International Conference Energy & Meteorology 2015, Boulder, USA. (oral)

Z. Ben Bouallegue (2015): "Calibration of Short-Range Global Radiation Ensemble Forecasts", International Conference Energy & Meteorology 2015, Boulder, USA. (oral)

S. Declair, K. Stephan, and R. Potthast (2015): "On the Improvement of Numerical Weather Prediction by Assimilation of Hub Height Wind Information in Convection-Resulted Models", European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Vienna, Austria. (oral)

T. Heppelmann, Z. Ben Bouallegue, S. Theis (2015): "Exploring the calibration of a wind forecast ensemble for energy applications", European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Vienna, Austria. (poster)

2014

Z. Ben Bouallègue (2014): "Verification of Weather Quantile-Forecasts for Energy Applications". Verification Methods Workshop, New Dehli, India.

C. Köhler (2014): "Toward better solar power forecast by improving NWP model physics", AGU 2014, San Francisco, USA (poster)

I. Alberts, V. Stauch, D. Lee (2014): "Probabilistic Weather Information Tailored to the Needs of the Renewable Energy Sector", AGU, San Francisco, USA (poster)

K. Lundgren (2014): "Advancing numerical weather forecasts for renewables", COST Action ES1002 Final Workshop, Paris, France. (oral, invited)

T. Heppelmann, Z. Ben Bouallegue, S. Theis (2014): "Evaluating and improving probabilistic wind forecasts of the high-resolution ensemble system COSMO-DE-EPS". European Meteorological Society Conference 2014, Prague, Czech Republic (poster)

Z. Ben Bouallegue and T. Heppelmann T. (2014): "Ensemble Forecasts and Predictability: A look at COSMO-DE-EPS performance for global radiation", European Meteorological Society annual meeting, Prague, Czech Republic. (oral)

C. Köhler and A. Steiner (2014): "Towards a more accurate wind and solar power prediction by improving NWP model physics", European Meteorological Society annual meeting, Prague, Czech Republic. (oral)

A. Steiner (2014): "Towards more accurate weather forecasts by improving NWP model physics with focus on wind profiles", COST WIRE summer school, Montegut, France. (oral, invited)

K. Lundgren (2014): "Assimilation of wind power data in NWP systems", COST WIRE summer school, Montegut, France. (oral, invited)

A. Schomburg, C. Schraff, H. Reich, R. Potthast (2014): "Assimilating cloud information from satellite cloud products with an Ensemble Kalman Filter at the convective scale", EnKF-Workshop, Buffalo, USA. (oral)

A. Steiner, C. Köhler, J. v. Schumann and B. Ritter (2014): "Towards a more accurate wind and solar power prediction by improving NWP model physics", EGU 2014, Wien. (poster)

K. Lundgren, M. Siefert, R. Hagedorn, D. Majewski(2014): "Improved Weather and Power Forecasts for Energy Operations", EGU 2014, Wien. (poster)

D. Lee, V. Stauch, I. Alberts (2014): "Integrating weather and power forecasts into an operational decision support system for transmission system operators". World Weather Open Science Conference (WWOSC), Montreal, Canada. (poster

D. Lee, V. Stauch, I. Alberts (2014): "Communicating confidence in weather forecasts to encourage probabilistic forecast use in decisions by grid operators". World Weather Open Science Conference (WWOSC), Montreal, Canada. (poster)

D. Lee, V. Stauch, I. Alberts, K. Lundgren (2014): "User optimized weather and power forecasts: Fostering acceptance through dialog". World Weather Open Science Conference (WWOSC), Montreal, Canada. (oral)

A. Schomburg, C. Schraff, A. Perianez, J. Otkin, R. Potthast (2014): "Assimilation of cloud-information at the convective scale in an Ensemble Kalman Filter", World Weather Open Science Conference (WWOSC), Montreal, Canada (oral)

K. Lundgren, R. Hagedorn, D. Majewski (2014): "Improved weather forecasts for energy operations within the German research project EWeLiNE", World Weather Open Science Conference (WWOSC), Montreal, Canada. (oral)

K. Lundgren, Z. Ben Bouallègue, R. Keane, and T. Heppelmann (2014): "Improved Ensemble Based Weather Forecasts for Renewable Energies", World Weather Open Science Conference (WWOSC), Montreal, Canada. (poster)

Andrea Steiner, Carmen Köhler, J. v. Schumann and B. Ritter (2014): "Optimizing physical parameterization in COSMO-DE towards renewable energies", World Weather Open Science Conference (WWOSC), Montreal, Canada (poster)



2013

K. Lundgren, S. Declair, R. Müller, A. Schomburg, R. Potthast (2013) Applying renewable energy power data for improved weather forecasts. European Meteorological Society Conference 2013, Reading, UK.

C. Köhler, A. Steiner, Y.-M. Saint Drenan, B. Ritter (2013) First Results on Numerical Weather Prediction Forecast Improvements for Renewable Energies (with emphasis on solar energy). European Meteorological Society Conference 2013, Reading, UK.

N. Schuhen, Z. Ben Bouallegue, R. Keane, K. Lundgren, M. Buchhold (2013) Improving probabilistic weather forecasting for the grid integration of weather-dependent renewable energies. European Meteorological Society Conference 2013, Reading, UK.

I. Alberts, V. Stauch, K. Lundgren, R. Hagedorn (2013) Probabilistic information for the renewable energy sector - can we bridge the gap between theory and praxis? European Meteorological Society Conference 2013, Reading, UK.

A. Steiner, C. Köhler, B. Ritter (2013) Erste Ergebnisse zur Optimierung der NWV-Modelle des DWD im Hinblick auf die Wind- und PV-Energieertragsprognosen. Deutsch-österreichisch-Schweizerische Meteorologentagung DACH 2013, Innsbruck.

R. Hagedorn, J. Dobschinski, U. Focken, D. Majewski (2013) Optimizing Meteorological Forecast Information for Energy Operations. International Conference Energy & Meteorology 2013, Toulouse, France.

K. Lundgren, M. Siefert (2013) Simultaneous improvement of weather and power forecasts for the grid integration of renewable energies. IEA R&D Wind Task 11 - Topical Expert Meeting on Forecasting Techniques, Mailand, Italia, 2013.

I. Alberts (2013) Probabilistic information for the renewable energy sector - can we bridge the gap between theory and praxis? EWEA-Workshop, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

S. Declair (2013) Assimilation of wind power data to improve the numerical weather prediction system and the wind power prediction, EWEA-Workshop, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

G. Vogt (2013) Applying Model Output Statistics (MOS) in the new German Project EWeLiNE for enhanced wind forecasting for renewable power generation. EWEA-Workshop, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Z. Ben Bouallègue, Nina Schuhen, Richard Keane, Kristina Lundgren, Michael Buchhold (2013) New Applications for the COSMO-DE Ensemble: predictability and renewable energy. Joint SRNWP WORKSHOP PHYSICAL PARAMETRIZATIONS AND ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEMS, Madrid, Spain.

W. Slaby (2013)Reference architecture for wind power forecasting systems,Ewea Technology workshop: Wind power forecasting, 2013, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

M. Siefert, J. Dobschinski, A. Wessel, R. Hagedorn, K. Lundgren, D. Majewski (2013)Development of innovative weather and power forecast models for the grid integration of weather dependent energy sources, Wind Integration Workshop, London, England, 2013

A. Wessel, Declair, Stefan; Mey, Britta; Dobschinski, Jan; Potthast, Roland (2013): Integration of wind power measurements into the assimilation process of the model COSMO-DE of the German Weather Service. In: Thomas Ackermann (Hg.): Windintegration Workshop 2013. London.

A. Braun, R. Fritz, S. Otterson (2013) Proceedings of the 12th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plant, London 2013

M. Siefert, L. Lundgren (2013) Simultaneous improvement of weather and power forecasts for the grid integration of renewable energies. IEA R&D Wind Task 11 - Topical Expert Meeting on Forecasting Techniques, 2013, Mailand

A. Wessel, B.Mey, J.Dobschinski, S.Declair, R.Potthast (2013) Integration of Wind Power Measurements into the Assimilation Process of the Model COSMO-DE of the German Weather Service: Creating the forward operator. Proceedings of the 12th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants. 2013 London

Konferenzbeiträge (national)

2015

A. Steiner und C. Köhler (2015): "Die Sonnenfinsternis aus meteorologischer Sicht - vergleichbar mit alltäglichen Gradienten?", Energiewetter-Konferenz, Berlin (oral, invited).

2014

A. Wessel, J. Doschinski, M. Siefert, M. Speckmann, A. Baier: Ensemble-Einsatz im Bereich der Windleistungsprognosen. Energiewetterkonferenz 2014, Berlin

S. Declair (2014) Assimilation of Wind Power Data to Improve Numerical Weather Prediction and Wind Power Prediction. 78. DPG-Jahrestagung, Arbeitskreis Energie, Berlin.

K. Lundgern (2014) The Renewable Energy Research Projects EWeLiNE and ORKA. COSMO User Seminar, Offenbach.

A. Steiner (2014) Carmen Köhler, Jonas von Shumann, EWeLiNE and ORKA: Improving Model Physics for Renewable Energy. COSMO User Seminar 2014, Offenbach.

S. Declair (2014) Klaus Stephan, Kristina Lundgren, Roland Potthast, Wind Power Data Assimilation in COSMO DE. COSMO User Seminar 2014, Offenbach.

A. Schomburg und C. Schraff (2014) Assimilating cloud information from satellite cloud products with an Ensemble Kalman Filter at the convective scale, International Symposium on Data Assimilation (ISDA), München (oral)

C. Köhler und Annika Schomburg (2014) "Improving Solar Radiation in NWP Models", EWGLAM/SRNWP Workshop 2014, Offenbach (oral)

R. Keane, R Kohlhepp, T Heppelmann, Z Ben Bouallègue, M Buchhold (2014) Producing probabilistic weather forecasts for renewable energyapplications, EWGLAM/SRNWP Workshop 2014, Offenbach (oral)

C. Köhler und das EWeLiNE Team (2014) Verwendung von Copernicus Daten im EWeLiNE Projekt für die Verbesserung der PV-Leistungsertragsprognosen, Nationales Forum für Fernerkundung und Copernicus 2014, Berlin (oral)

I. Alberts und das EWeLiNE Team (2014) "Optimierung der numerischen Wettervorhersagemodelle des DWDs an die Anforderungen der Energiewirtschaft", Seewetteramt, Hamburg (oral)

S. Declair, K. Stephan and R. Potthast (2014) "Data assimilation system Kenda and weather dependent renewables". Frühjahrstagung der Deutschen Physikalischen Gesellschaft, Berlin, Arbeitskreis Energie. (oral)

S. Declair, K. Stephan and R. Potthast (2014) "Wind power data assimilation in COSMO-DE using a local ensemble kalman filter", Computational wind engineering, Hamburg (oral)

S. Declair, K. Stephan and R. Potthast (2014) "The impact of hub height wind information on numerical weather and power prediction in COSMO-DE", Wind integration workshop, Berlin (poster)

M. Siefert, J. Dobschinski, S. Otterson, T. Kanefendt, K. Lundgren, D. Ernst, M. Zirkelbach, A. Bergmann-Dick (2014) Probabilistic wind power forecasts based on the COSMO-DE-EPS weather model, 14th Wind Integration Workshop, Berlin (oral)

A. Braun, J. Dobschinski (2014) Error Reduction of Regional Wind Power Forecast by Integrating Spatio-temporal Information into an Artificial Intelligence Model, 14th Wind Integration Workshop, Berlin (oral)

J. Dobschinski (2014) How good is my forecast - Comparability of wind power forecast errros, 14th Wind Integration Workshop, Berlin (oral)



2013

J. Dobschinski und das EWeLiNE Projektteam (2013) EWeLiNE - Erstellung innovativer Wetter- und Leistungsprognosemodelle für die Netzintegration wetterabhängiger Energieträger. Fachtagung Energiemeteorologie, Grainau, 2013.

I. Alberts (2013) Optimierung der numerischen Wettervorhersagemodelle des DWDs an die Anforderungen der Energiewirtschaft. Deutsche Meteorologische Gesellschaft, Zweigverein Rheinland, Fortbildungsveranstaltung Energie-Meteorologie, Köln.

R. Hagedorn (2013) Aktuelle Forschungsprojekte im DWD zur Verbesserung von Wettervorhersagen und deren Nutzung zur Sicherung der Stromnetze. Extrem Wetter Kongress, Hamburg.

K. Lundgren (2013) Eine neue Herausforderung für die Meteorologie: Vorhersagen von Extrem(wetter)ereignissen für Energieanwendungen. Extrem Wetter Kongress, Hamburg.

R. Hagedorn (2013) Optimierte Wetter- und Leistungsprognosen durch optimierte Zusammenarbeit zwischen Meteorologie und Energiewirtschaft. Energiewetter-Konferenz, Berlin.

A. Wessel, Dobschinski, Jan; Siefert, Malte; Speckmann, Markus; Baier, André (2013): Ensemble-Einsatz im Bereich der Windleistungsprognosen. Ein weiterer Schritt in Richtung "perfekte Vorhersage"? In: Energiewetterkonferenz 2013. Berlin. Meteomind.